Mùa giải MotoGP 2025: Giải Grand Prix Áo, phân tích, Marc Marquez, Ducati, thống kê

Marquez’s Austrian Nightmare: Can He Finally Conquer His Bogey Track in 2025?

In the high-octane world of MotoGP, few riders have dominated the sport like Marc Marquez, the eight-time world champion with 70 premier-class victories. Yet, despite his illustrious career, one track continues to haunt him: the Red Bull Ring in Austria. As the 2025 MotoGP season barrels toward its 13th round on August 15-17, all eyes are on Marquez to see if he can finally banish a nine-year winless streak at his personal kryptonite. With a commanding 120-point lead in the championship and a new weapon in the form of the Ducati Desmosedici, the stage is set for a historic showdown. But can Marquez overcome the ghosts of his Austrian nightmare?

The Red Bull Ring, nestled in the scenic hills of Spielberg, has been a thorn in Marquez’s side since it rejoined the MotoGP calendar in 2016. Despite seven starts, Marquez has never tasted victory here, a stark anomaly for a rider who has conquered nearly every other circuit on the calendar. His record at the track reads like a tale of agonizing near-misses: second place in 2017, 2018, and 2019, with losses to Ducati riders Andrea Dovizioso and Jorge Lorenzo by margins as slim as 0.130 seconds. These heartbreaking defeats, all while riding for Honda, have cemented the Red Bull Ring as Marquez’s toughest challenge. “The Austrian track has never given me great satisfaction, but it has provided plenty of duels right down to the last corner,” Marquez admitted ahead of the 2025 Austrian Grand Prix, reflecting on his history of thrilling but fruitless battles.

What makes the Red Bull Ring so difficult for Marquez? The circuit’s layout, with its long straights, hard braking zones, and emphasis on acceleration, plays perfectly to the strengths of Ducati’s Desmosedici, a bike that has dominated the track since 2016, winning all but two races. In contrast, Marquez’s Honda years saw him struggle against the Italian manufacturer’s superior straight-line speed, despite his mastery of high-speed corners. His closest calls came in 2017 (0.176 seconds behind Dovizioso), 2018 (0.130 seconds behind Lorenzo), and 2019 (0.213 seconds behind Dovizioso again), each loss a testament to the track’s unforgiving nature. Even in 2024, riding a Gresini Ducati, Marquez showed blistering pace but finished fourth after a chaotic start, proving that speed isn’t his issue—circumstance is.

Fast forward to 2025, and the narrative has shifted dramatically. Marquez’s move to the factory Ducati Lenovo Team has been a game-changer, propelling him to eight victories in the first 12 rounds, including an astonishing 10 consecutive wins when counting Sprint races. His 120-point lead over his brother Alex Marquez (Gresini Racing) and 168-point advantage over teammate Francesco Bagnaia underscore his dominance. The Desmosedici, perfectly suited to the Red Bull Ring’s demands, gives Marquez a golden opportunity to rewrite history. “I can’t wait to get back on track after the holidays,” Marquez said, exuding confidence. “I’m ready to tackle this second part of the season in the best possible way.”

However, the challenge remains formidable. The Red Bull Ring has been a Ducati stronghold, but Marquez isn’t the only rider aiming for glory. Teammate Francesco Bagnaia, who boasts a five-race win streak at the circuit, is a formidable rival despite struggling with braking and corner-entry issues on his GP25 this season. “This track has always been very favorable to Ducati,” Bagnaia noted, eager to extend his reign. Meanwhile, riders like Jorge Martin and Marco Bezzecchi could disrupt Marquez’s plans, though his current form makes him the favorite, with betting odds listing him at -350 to win.

Marquez’s 2025 season has been defined by shattering hoodoos. He ended long winless streaks at Lusail, Mugello, and Assen, proving his ability to conquer tracks that once vexed him. Austria represents the final frontier, a chance to tick off a box that has eluded him for nearly a decade. His approach this year—combining calculated aggression with the best bike on the grid—suggests he’s never been better positioned to succeed. Yet, the Red Bull Ring’s history of unpredictability, from wet-weather upsets to last-corner duels, means nothing is guaranteed.

As the MotoGP circus descends on Spielberg, the anticipation is palpable. A victory for Marquez would not only end his Austrian nightmare but also deal a psychological blow to his rivals, particularly Bagnaia, whose three-year dominance at the track is under threat. Fans and analysts alike are buzzing, with social media posts on X calling the race “Marquez’s moment to make history.” Whether he can translate his season’s momentum into a breakthrough win remains to be seen, but one thing is certain: the 2025 Austrian Grand Prix will be a defining chapter in Marquez’s storied career. Will he finally conquer his bogey track, or will the Red Bull Ring remain his unconquered nemesis?